Let's divide the world into two groups. The group of people like a turkey, falls into a major event without even realizing it, and the group of people on the contrary, always prepares for important events beyond the expectations of others. Sometimes in life, you bet the dollars just to collect a bunch of coins but mistakenly think you are winning. There are times when you risk a few coins in exchange for dollars. In other words, you are betting that the Black Swan will either happen or will never happen, which are two strategies that require two completely different ideologies.
Obviously, we (humans) give special priority to generating a portion of our income at a given time. Let's turn back to Chapter 4, the paragraph about the bankruptcy of major banks in the US in the summer of 1982.
As a result, some of Extremistan's problems are particularly dangerous but they don't seem to have been previously dangerous because they lurk and delay their level of risk - so fools will think that "safe". Indeed, in the short term, Extremistan has the property that looks less risky than its true nature.