The Golden Revolution, Revisited

The protracted global financial crisis and perceived rise in economic inequality has awakened the long-dormant debate as to whether the international monetary system is in need of fundamental reform. While not surprising given that there is now general agreement that excessive money and credit growth played a key role in the near collapse of the global financial system in 2008, John Butler makes a compelling case in this book that the only way to place the global economy back on the path of sustainable economic growth and to reverse the trend towards inequality is to remonetize gold.

Already there are a number of major countries expressing concern about the stability of the existing monetary order. And concern is increasingly giving way to action. As the dollar's international reserve gold gradually declines and more trade is conducted in other currencies, global monetary arrangements are likely to become increasingly multipolar. As there is no single national currency that can realistically replace the dollar as the preeminent global monetary reserve, gold will re-emerge as the preferred international money. As students of economic history will note, it was precisely a multipolar world amid rapidly growing international trade that ushered in the classical gold standard in the 1870s. The world's 40 year experiment with purely unbacked fiat currencies is thus rapidly approaching its conclusion.

This book, however, goes much farther than predict a return to gold. It explores just what the transition might look like, including both orderly and disorderly scenarios and drawing on historical examples where relevant. It considers to what extent the price of gold will likely rise as it becomes remonetized. It surveys and evaluates recent developments in financial technology, including bitcoin, blockchain and digital gold. Most important, it prepares the reader with practical investment advice for a world of gold or gold-backed money, including thoughts on interest rates, exchange rates, credit spreads, equity market valuations, and risk premia for assets in general. Thus John Butler provides not only a compelling vision of the future, but also a detailed road map for navigating what is likely to be the most challenging investment landscape in generations.

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