The Years of The Switch and The Dream of The Singularity

The main theory in this book is the fact that humans as a species have stopped evolving in-vivo.
They are evolving in-caput.
It means that humans by developping technology turn themselves into a never ending list of sub-species.

The dynamics of in-caput evolution are modelled in Julia and described in detail in this book.
All equations are described and Julia code listings are present in this book.

The conclusions coming from those equations are the following:

We have seen that "in caput evolution" can define the way by which the homo sapiens species operates.

Defining with allometric equations, the "in caput evolution" is possible.

In that case, the most plausible equation models succeed in defining the current humanity s-curve, with a time extension from -2000 CE to 6000 CE.

All of a sudden, the current s-curve became visible.

It is the technology that fuels this "in caput evolution" s-curve.

The technology level allows us to predict the human population during the s-curve and the human lifespan.

Interestingly the quarter-power law, so crucial in allometry, stay the course also in this case.
If we believe in those equations, then the corresponding s-curves of the human population and technology level went through their maximum growth points during the last few decades.

Therefore we have switched from growing growth to decreasing growth. Those were the years of the switch for this s-curve that can be defined as "the technarian age jump".

It is possible to plot factor population function of the technology level factor, which shows the functional response of humanity during the technarian age jump.

It usually is not easy to diverge a lot from a functional response. But there are two sides to the functional response. One is the crowded side. Where there is more population and fewer resources, the other side is the smart side. They both go to the same point, but one side is the smarter and safer side.

In front of factor population and factor technology level, it is possible to extend the definition of species fitness beyond simply the factor population but also the factor technology level into it.

Life is a succession of s-curves reversely falling into negentropy.

Before the "technarian age jump" s-curve, humanity went through the venatorian s-curve and the agrarian s-curve.

Simplified models of venatorian, agrarian and technarian societies have been done to evaluate if dynamic societal movements could impact the main s-curve. But societal movements likely have only a limited impact on the overall humanity functional response.

However, there has been an exciting result modelling the agrarian society. It appears that its well-documented plural centenarian instability cycle might actually be generated by elite over reproduction but also end especially by the elite loss of efficiency.

The discovered allometry equations enable us to estimate that humans are right now the equivalent of a 98% material aggregation and 2% molecular aggregation.

At the end of the technarian s-curve, they will be 99.5% material and 0.5% molecular.

That is if nothing changes.

But things will change.

The new s-curve is getting started.

It will be the one of The Singularity.

It is unknown when and how it will play out. It is unknown if in the middle there will be a long or very long asymptotic phase, but it will be a crucially important and exciting time.

Hopefully, humanity will fulfil its destiny of being a "Proteromonic" species.

Dettagli